The Fineform Rating Formula
"The formula is both swift & effective in rating runners on the flat & over the jumps. The combination of two positive potential winning factors – good recent form & proven ability - is utilised in the ratings.
Points are awarded as listed below for each of the runners' previous TWO OUTINGS OF THE CURRENT SEASON ONLY.:-
1st 5 points
2nd 3 points
3rd 2 points
4th 1 point
D (disqualified from 1st place) 5 points
Course & Distance (C&D)
C&D 3 points
C.D 3 points
D 2 points
C 1 point
All runners in the race are awarded points according to their previous achievements, and the runner that is rated the highest TOTAL number of points is the selection. The maximum total rating that can be achieved is 13 points. If joint Top Rated an extra 1 point for a distance winner. If still even the horse nearest the top/bottom of the card is the selection." You can use the second(third) rated horse for forecasts.
If you are selective and factor in the selections ability to go on the going, and its proven fitness with a recent run you should be in with a chance at the finish. Clive Holt supports his formula with numerous statistics. I find it is a good base to finalise selections., and it often throws up decent price winners.
The Fineform Maximum Selection i.e. 13 points choices. By just backing these selections only over the season, everything I have read indicates you will come out on top. I have also seen this selection criteria method known as the "Financial Security for Life Formula," amongst others.
With regards to your betting strategy I would suggest you just do single bets, although I am sure you have some very good days. Why? Because professional gamblers only normally bet in singles (I assume they must know something), and bookmakers are always encouraging multi-bets (I assume they must know something). E.g. In a Yankee out of 11 bets , if your first horse loses you lose out on 7 bets, leaving you only with 4 bets left for your last 3 selections.
For staking I look at the amount I want to win and adjust my stake accordingly. E.g. I want to win £20 - on a 4/1 chance I bet £5 & on a 2/1 chance I bet £10. I always respect the market so if a horse is a 5/1 – its chance of winning should be around that, likewise an even money horse should be 50/50. But then that's where we all look for value!
Labels: Betting Systems