The Australian Dream Horse Racing System
The aim of this system is to indicate winners using proven form principles. Form is without doubt, the only accurate method of establishing the true merits of individual racehorses. Without this method it would mean betting blind and the sport would be reduced to the level of bingo, where intelligent assessment counts for nothing.
However form can be a very misleading guide, especially if it is not properly understood, or used correctly. Indeed the biggest problem facing most backers is knowing which form is best.
This is where THE AUSTRALIAN DREAM comes to your aid. Thousands of races have been examined to find a statistical answer to this problem. This massive survey revealed how much importance should be attached to the various factors involved. You now have in your hands, the most reliable forecasting process ever devised.
The system was originally devised for Australian racing, so naturally a few changes had to be made to meet our different conditions. These were only minor alterations, the essential part still remains the same.
Although good results can be obtained when the system is operated on virtually any race you like, records prove that races with the highest prize money are more suitable than others. These provide a rock solid base, and make the system even more lucrative.
The papers we recommend are the Racing Post, Sporting Life, or any newspaper which give details of a horses last race. Keep to the same paper daily for the best results.
SELECTION PROCESS A
Check each system race. Look for a horse which won last time out (current season only). If there is only one horse, THIS IS THE SELECTION of the system. No further considerations need to be taken. Remember only present season form is used at this stage.
If a system race has been split into two, or more parts, use only the first division. If there are NO horses which won last time out, or if there are two or more last time out winners, apply the following rules to find the selection.
SELECTION PROCESS B
In this section horses are awarded points when they qualify under different circumstances. The horse with the highest total becomes the selection.
Statistics prove that a horse's most recent run is a sound indication of it's ability, and the system is based around this fact. Here we award points according to the position of the horse in it's last race. However a horse winning on a group 1 course, would usually be far superior to a group 4 winner. Therefore a class factor has been included and points are awarded as follows:
GROUP 1 COURSE:
WINNER RECEIVES 15 POINTS
SECOND RECEIVES 12 POINTS
THIRD RECEIVES 9 POINTS
FOURTH RECEIVES 7 POINTS
GROUP 2 COURSE: WINNER RECEIVES 12 POINTS SECOND RECEIVES 9 POINTS THIRD RECEIVES 7 POINTS FOURTH RECEIVES 5 POINTS
GROUP 3 COURSE: WINNER RECEIVES 9 POINTS SECOND RECEIVES 7 POINTS THIRD RECEIVES 6 POINTS FOURTH RECEIVES 3 POINTS
GROUP 4 COURSE: WINNER RECEIVES 7 POINTS SECOND RECEIVES 5 POINTS THIRD RECEIVES 4 POINTS FOURTH RECEIVES 2 POINTS
Remember only a horse's latest race is taken, but it does not matter if its during the current season or not. A horse which was unplaced, fell or pulled up fails to gain any points here. A table of the racecourse groupings is given further on. A horse running again very soon after it's last race means it is fit and well, and therefore capable of running it's best form. The system takes advantage of this by awarding points as follows:
WINNER RUNNING AGAIN WITHIN 7 DAYS RECEIVES 5 POINTS
SECOND RUNNING AGAIN WITHIN 7 DAYS RECEIVES 3 POINTS
THIRD RUNNING AGAIN WITHIN 7 DAYS RECEIVES 2 POINTS
So a horse running say on Monday and running again on or before the following Monday would qualify. Additional points are awarded if a horse is now carrying less/same weight than his previous race.
LESS WEIGHT THAN PREVIOUS RACE RECEIVES 3 POINTS
SAME WEIGHT THAN PREVIOUS RACE RECEIVES 1 POINT
Some horses run better at certain courses and over particular distances. So points are awarded when as follows:
PREVIOUS DISTANCE WINNER RECEIVES 3 POINTS
PREVIOUS COURSE WINNER RECEIVES 2 POINTS
It is a fact that more horses win at lower odds than those with big starting prices. the table below reflects this difference.
EVENS AND ODDS-ON RECEIVES 15 POINTS
BETWEEN 11/10 - 6/4 RECEIVES 8 POINTS
BETWEEN 13/8 - 5/2 RECEIVES 5 POINTS
BETWEEN 11/4 - 9/2 RECEIVES 3 POINTS
BETWEEN 5/1 - 9/1 RECEIVES 1 POINTS
OVER 10/1 RECEIVES 0 POINTS
Ideally it would be best if you could use the actual betting market just before the off. Unfortunately most people will find this inconvenient, so the alternative is to use the betting forecast from the newspaper. It is important to use the same paper each day.
Once the procedure has been completed on every horse in the system race just add up all the points to find the horse which has the highest total. This is then the selection of the AUSTRALIAN DREAM. If two or more horses tie at the top, do not bet. So a horse who came 2nd last time out on a group 3 course and is running again within 7 days with less weight and is both a previous course and distance winner. Forecasted at 2/1 in the paper, he will receive points as follows.
RACECOURSE GROUPING JUMPS
GROUP1 Ascot, Ayr, Cheltenham, Doncaster, Haydock, Kempton, Liverpool, Newbury, Newcastle, Sandown
GROUP 2 Chepstow, Fontwell, Lingfield, Newton Abbot, Wetherby
GROUP 3 Catterick, Folkestone, Huntingdon, Leicester, Market Rasen, Nottingham, Plumpton, Stratford, Uttoxeter, Warwick, Wincanton, Wolverhampton, Worcester
GROUP 4 Bangor-on-Dee, Carlisle, Cartmel, Devon and Exeter, Fakenham, Hereford, Hexham, Kelso, Ludlow, Perth, Sedgefield, Southwell, Taunton, Towcester
Remember if a race has been split in two or more parts, always use the first division only.
Labels: Betting Systems