‘There is never any value in buying cards in derbies’, Kevin Pullein considers bookings index betting (Racing Post, 13 January 2008). Avoid no go games. Too unpredictable odds with any outcome possible can go either ways too often leading you to loss.
‘Don’t be afraid to go against the crowd. Prices will move in accordance with the volume of money, meaning that if you are able to identify a bet which goes against the obvious, you will normally obtain better value.’– Never take odd for granted. Occurrence can go either way. You re up to identify your call not your odds.
‘Keep records of your bets so that you can see where your strengths and weaknesses lie.’ Advice which could be applied to most gambling disciplines from Having fat robust statistics of thoughts outcomes and ideas, systems and anything else related to your calls can be of huge matter in sharpening your future hunch and percentage of wins.
‘It is imperative to open accounts with all firms and to shop around, without exception, for the best possible price.’ – Karim Fatih, Racing Post, 4 February 2008 The better the odd on occurrence the more you win on win.
‘Much money is made in spread betting by swimming against the tide of popular opinion. Just because a card contains a bunch of small fields on soft ground it does not mean that winning distances will be enormous. Similarly, ultra-competitive contests run on fast ground don’t always lead to photo-finishes.’ – Karim Fatih, Racing Post, 18 February 2008 Just beware of losing. Never go just on odd being low or high.
‘Put the same thought into closing bets that you do into opening bets. Consider each bet on its merits – even (especially) closing bets – and only close if you are confident that the price is wrong and that you are getting a value trade.’ – Karim Fatih, Racing Post, 17 March 2008 Analyze analyze analyze.
Always look at prices you wouldn’t like to be on before you look at prices you do want to be on. If you know what will not come you know what will in two ways bet or might in three ways.
Choose an involatile market for your first bets; for example, total goals in a football match, bowlers’ wickets in a Test match or indeed total tries in a rugby game. Have a small bet on a few games of your choice and see how you get on. Worst case scenario, a £2 play in any of these markets should not cost you much. Good system has witnessed many statistics challenges.
Do your research. With the internet and the endless written material available to all it is very easy to make some statistical based assumptions about a game. For example, if you are playing the time of the first goal in a game between Manchester United and Arsenal, your research might indicate that the first goal in the game over the last ten years on average comes in the fiftieth minute of the match. The spread betting price will be around 37–40, and therefore you would surmise a buy is appropriate. This can be done for pretty much any market and then you can ascertain if your gut feeling is right. Research research research.

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