HOW TO NICK THE NATIONAL WINNER

1. Award five points to entries that raced off a handicap mark of at least 137 that same season.
2. Five points if they had previously reached the first three in a steeplechase with at least 13 runners.
3. Five points if they had already won over at least three miles.
4. Another five points if they’ve won over three miles three furlongs plus, or reached the first three in one of the big five Grand Nationals –Aintree, Irish, Scottish, Welsh, Midlands.
5. Five points if they did not race as a novice chaser in the previous season.
6. Five points if they had completed the course in a field of 18 or more on a chase track where more than 8.5 per cent of runners have fallen in the past decade.
7. Five points if they are set to carry less than 11 stones 2 pounds.
8. Five points if they ran over hurdles this season.
9. Five points if they’ve won no more than once in their last six runs.
10. Five points if they were not bred in France.
11. Five points if they’ve ever earned a Racing Post rating higher than 145.
12. Five points if they haven’t worn any headgear this season.
Mordin suggested using horses which score 55 or more points as a basis for finding the winner, and explained, ‘Some of them, I concede, look a bit odd. But believe me, they work.

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